Reflections from COP19, Friday 15 November

The open plenary started with some discussion and the guiding questions were how could capacity-build be reflected in the 2015 agreement? And what institutions arrangements would be required for capacity-build in the post 2010 period?

Guidance of cooperation is required for be the future more visible. Explore ideas that can reflect for a more coordinate ability for a adaptation actions that can contribute activities to face the climate change.

The speech from Philippines was on big moment at the plenary that focus on the mechanisms for access in order to active on adaptive process. The small delegates from Philippines got a big attention and reflection during this meeting. Balance and support finance it is necessary to make more acceptable the adaption progress, followed by the message from the speech from the European Union. Just a network can support these project.

Reflections from COP19, Thursday 14 November

At the plenary room the discussion about the strategies of technologies transfer, started asking how could technology development and transfer be reflected in the 2015 agreement? And what institutions arrangement would be required in the 2020 period for technology development and transfer?

How to incentives sustainable practices polices that influence the climate change. In the cities 7milion people are moving to cities every month, 6.2 billion people by 2050. Integrate transport and urban planning can contribute in shaping these cities.

The Brazil disasters were cited during the World Bank pronunciation, as one part of the puzzle, relating climate change and finance losses. The case economic damages caused by the natural disasters. Cities and climate change should look also see the need finance projects.

Sustainable transport and climate change benefits, it was the first COP that dedicated a special space for transport and cities. Road safety, air pollution is one of the problems, but what can be done is the question. Better access, how can we avoid the necessity, as in Stockholm, rapid buses, and public bikes; as in Wuhan 94.000; electric vehicles.    Individual cars are a simple of freedom after 90´years and this obstacle for many solutions.

It is urgent mechanisms regarding technology transfer in order to face the climate change. How can be done? We really hope that progress was make▄

Reflections from COP19, Wednesday 13 November

Today at COP19 in Poland there are several important events, a little window of the reality. Evidence of loss and damage from climate change is already happening, says the UNU report, at the press release from Institute for Environment and Humana Security (UNU-EHS), and the press with Dr. Koko Warner presented how the risks are associated with climate change, loss and damage. It is crucial because threats their losses post to sustainable development ad food production. It is happing every where? In the counties where they have research and project it suggest this, but in the same is necessary more understanding of the impacts of climate variability.

On the press meeting with the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the provisional statement on the state of the climate 2013 observed. The previous results show as warmer year and a warm trend. Changes in the sea ice extend is evident in the Arctic and is continuous melt of the ice since the last decades. Annual sea level rise in the Pacific is where is most observed and warmer r water it is higher the average from the last decade. The combination of extreme winds and waves are making the cost communities more vulnerable.

COP19, Poland

COP19, Poland

How does the climate change affect extreme events, in these context the wind speech’s and storms like the recent event in Philippines are observed more frequently.

It is still difficult link extreme events and climate change.

At the IPCC press meeting with Thomas Stoker, Jonathn Lynn and Renete Crist, about the report of Climate Change 2013, on the key questions it is how to prevent and how many parts of CO2 change the temperature before we reach the dangers level, it is necessary consider the scenarios. Regarding the ocean energy balance, it was observed the water salt had changed and also the ph of the ocean. Where did the energy go half of it associated with reduction a atmosphere and internal variability of the climate system.

It is crucial changes and decisions that are so relevant to procedure in order for a sustainable climate with less impact of events such as natural disasters. Time is not on our side but the question is if we are all together to support these decisions▄

Reflections from COP19,Tuesday 12 November

The day started with very intense meeting and the soul of the morning it is “real ambitious”. Perhaps the next actions under the Kyoto Protocol are showing the reasons for these ambitious actions, with difficult questions related of the influence on the climate change.

A lot of conversion and discussions with effort by the parties to progress a better scenario of climate change. It is time now for decisions in order to mitigate the impacts of climate change.

The responsibility of every us to find mechanisms to face the climate change and collaborate with each other in order to have a bather balance in order of everyone have capacities to deal with the impacts of climate change, as the natural disasters.

The pronunciation of commission of Small Islands on the plenary room during the morning showed the climate security problem driven by climate change, one dimension of the security issue is natural disasters. Pacific island countries are among the most prone natural disasters globally. Climate change is expected to increase the severity and frequency of tropical storms according the last repost from IPCC from 2013.

The African Group was regarding the need for a permanent mechanism: “We don’t need to wait for the disasters to happen”. It should be remembered that many of the consequences of climate change are long-term, especially in terms of access to clean water, food security and human health. The G77 and China have given a veiled ultimatum that an agreement on a loss and damage mechanism is crucial for the success of the whole COP19.

At the plenary room during the afternoon was presented the results of the report from IPCC2013, the report had three main messages: climate change is happing; humans’ actions have influence and we need act urgently. The Philippines make a question for IPCC panel about the effect of ocean warming on tropical cyclones. There is also a demand for increased capacity building in relation to climate modelling in developing countries.

It is crucial changes and decisions that are so relevant to procedure in order for a sustainable climate with less impact of events such as natural disasters. Time is not on our side but the question is if we are all together to support these decisions.

Reflections from COP19, Monday 11 November

Today it is important National Independence Day here in Poland and is my first day at the COP19. The United Nations Climate Change Conference COP19 have 52 counties participating; it is possible to fell energy and importance of this event and the day. I am taking my train from Toruń to go to Warszawa and there a lot of station controlling documents.

When I first entered the he Conference Centre at the National I was both amazed and happy to see the excited faces of the diverse range of people from around the world. By contrast, the atmosphere among the participants was one of frustration, especially regarding the small island delegates.

We start the week with speaking about the importance to provide solutions for the adverse effects from the climate change, which are more emergence than ever. I hope this event will be an opportunity to remember that just with a global solution we can face the climate change. We hope the results of the work of this week in the COP19 will find a way for a more sustainable climate.

COP19, monday 11 November

COP19, monday 11 November

It is difficult not to mention in a conference about climate change the disasters caused by a strong storm a few days ago that acrossed the islands of the central PHILIPPINES. The winds reached 190m.p.h and the estimative at least 10,000 people many died, and while is happing COP19 people are suffering and without food. The potential for hazards as a response to climate change shows how potential can be the influences of anthropogenic actions.

At the plenary room a very emotional speech from Philippines in the afternoon make everyone to remember the recent hurricane where people during this conference are suffering the consequences of climate change. This presentation had been followed by a minute of silence.

Video

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aC-Gd5ufiwc&feature=youtu.be

 

The Risk of Strong Winds in Europe

ForecastAccurate knowledge of the frequency distribution of strong surface wind is of major relevance for insurance related risks in Europe. The risk of wind it a kind of not so a popular risk that people are very afraid. As financial losses due to weather extremes escalate, in the development of information related with of wind storm over Europe. The series of number of strong winds shows that in the last 40 years is accompanied by an increase in year-to-year of this phenomenon.

The series of number of strong winds (MeteoSchweiz n°216).

The series of number of strong winds (MeteoSchweiz n°216).

Some weeks ago I experience very windy afternoon in Toruń (city in Poland), a big tree felt down in front of the Department of Nicolaus Copernicus University and crashing into a car, the phenomenon shows how dangerous and extreme strong winds can be.

Results of a very windy afternoon in Toruń, Poland (Photo: Ewa Zukrowska).

Results of a very windy afternoon in Toruń, Poland (Photo: Ewa Zukrowska).

After some weeks the North Europe had suffered strong winds. The wind speeds reached more than 150 kph leaving a trail of damage across Europe. The wind brought down trees, blew roofs off houses and turned over trucks, leaving at least 600.000 people without electricity. As consequence of strong winds England, Germany, Denmark, Poland, Sweden and Netherland had some trees that had felt down, cut roads and railways, causing chaos. In a neighbour of London, the city cut the electricity that created a shot circuit followed by a gas explosion.

Evolution of the wind storm in Europe in octuber 2013 (MetOffice)

Evolution of the wind storm in Europe in octuber 2013 (MetOffice)

Climate change has promoted a wide study of the potential impacts of the enhanced green-house effect on the frequency of violent winds. The analysis of extreme winds follows two main different points of view: spatially distributed and generalized view. The magnitude and frequency of extreme wind speed is of fundamental importance for many safety of the society with more risks.